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Victoria Derby Day: Odds, Preview and Early Value

Wed, Oct 26, 4:01pm by Bren O'Brien

The final fields have been released for Victoria Derby Day, with Sacred Elixir now a $3.10 favourite for the main race after Good Standing didn’t accept for the 2500m blue riband.

Trainer James Cummings has decided to reserve Good Standing for Saturday weeks Emirates Mackinnon Stakes, leaving Sacred Elixir as clear favourite in the $1.5 million Derby.

Kiwi trained Sacred Elixir impressed when winning the Vase at Moonee Valley last week and but is set to face a capacity field with 20 acceptors, which includes four emergencies.

So Si Bon, third behind Sacred Elixir last week, is the only other runner in single figures ($9), while Sydney colt Swear, who was second in the Spring Champion Stakes, is third pick at $10.

WATCH: Our Preview of Victoria Derby Day

Sacred Elixir will be looking to emulate Tarzino as recent favourites to have won the Derby. Before Tarzino, the top pick in the market had not won the race since 2006.

Other given a good chance in the market are Prized Icon ($13), Morvada ($16), Captain Duffy ($16) and Beach Life ($15).

The Cantala Stakes (1600m) will be run on this day for the first on Saturday, having swapped places with the Mackinnon and it has attracted a high-quality field of 17 runners.

In an extremely open market, The United States ($5.50) tops the market off his win over the same distance at Moonee Valley last week. He’s Our Rokkii, who won the Toorak Handicap, is second pick at $6.50, with Makybe Diva Stakes winner Palentino ($7) third pick.

Seaburge, a three-year-old who carries just 50kg, is $9 along with Chris Waller’s rising star Mackintosh.

The Myer Classic, another Group 1 mile race, features another big field with First Seal at the top of the market at $4. Don’t Doubt Mamma and Whispering Brook hold joint second favouritism at $6.50, while Dixie Blossoms is $7.

Danish Twist is $8, while Euro Angel opened $13 but may shorten over the next few days

The Coolmore Stud Stakes is the first Group 1 on the program as Race 5 and has attracted a field of just ten.

It’s all high quality though with Extreme Choice currently holding sway at the top of betting at $3.30. Astern, who won the Golden Rose before being beaten in the Roman Consul, is $3.60 second pick, while Star Turn is $4.40.

Russian Revolution, who defeated Astern last start and is unbeaten in four starts, is surprising value at $11, while there has been early money has been for Golden Slipper winner Capitalist, who has been $10 into $9 already.

Derby Day features nine races, the first of which is at 11:45am.

As per usual, we’ve gone through the fields to find ten horses we think are well above the odds in early markets.

Here they are:

Race 1 No.1 Hey Doc, Best Odds: $5, (Our Odds: $3.50)

Race 2 No.3 Alliterate, Best Odds: $14 (Our Odds: $7)

Race 3 No. 1 Wild Rain, Best Odds: $8.50, Our Odds: $4.80)

Race 4 No.2 Real Love, Best Odds: $4.50 (Our Odds: $3.50)

Race 5 No.7 Saracino, Best Odds: $26 (Our Odds: $10)

Race 6 No.8 Pearls, Best Odds: $21 (Our Odds: $9)

Race 7 No.3 Swear, Best Odds: $10 (Our Odds: $6)

Race 7 No.11 Kent, Best Odds: $31 (Our Odds: $13)

Race 8 No.8 Bon Aurum, Best Odds: $26 (Our Odds: $9)

Race 9 No.3 Dothraki, Best Odds: $14 (Our Odds: $5.50)

 


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