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Moir Stakes Night – Moonee Valley – Preview and Tips

Thu, Sep 29, 6:33pm by Bren O'Brien

Friday night’s Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley represents the first Group 1 sprint of the Spring, and the first sight of champion sprinters Chautauqua and Buffering for the new seasons.

It’s arguable that the sprinting ranks in Australia have produced better stories than the middle distance or staying ranks of recent years and Chautauqua has been at the heart of most of them in recent times.

The spectacular grey has now won five Group 1s from ten starts at the elite level, most recently the Chairman’s Sprint in Hong Kong in May, just four weeks after winning the TJ Smith Stakes for the second year in succession.

He is currently the undisputed king of Australian sprinting, but he does put that on the line at Moonee Valley on Friday night when he takes on brilliant three-year-old Extreme Choice as well as the old champ Buffering, who is coming back to win his third straight Moir.

There is also Group 1 winner Lucky Hussler resuming plus a couple of talented and in-form sprinters in Wild Rain and Heatherly.

Because of the multiple metropolitan meetings, we’ll review the Moir, the JRA Cup, the Stocks Stakes and the Stutt Stakes in detail and offer you tips in the other five races. WE’LL have a fukll preview of Sunday’s Flemington meeting up later in the week.

Race 1 – Mac Signs BM90 – 1500m

Tips:

1st: 7. Mr Individual

2nd: 1. Rugged Cross

3rd: 5. Marwood

4th: 8. Plot The Course   

Race 2 – Quest Moonee Valley Plate – 1200m

Tips:

1st: 2. Ken’s Dream

2nd: 9. Dam Ready

3rd: 6. Blue Tycoon

4th: 3. Benz

Race 3 – The Sporting Globe JRA Cup – 2040m

Tips:

1st: 1. Real Love ($4.40)

2nd: 8. Bold Sniper ($16)

3rd: 4. Taiyoo ($23)

4th: 3. Maurus ($9)  

Summary: Always an interesting race this one, and fancy Real Love heavily off her run in the Dato. Was a little flat in the Naturalism, but likes the Valley and gets in just four kgs over minimum. Bold Sniper’s won over this track and distance, plus a good weight puts him in the hunt, while Taiyoo likes this track and improves as his campaigns go on. Maurus gets to his best distance range.

Betting Confidence: Highly confident in Real Love winning this

Race 4 Inglis 55-Second Challenge – 955m

Tips:

1st: 4. Gun Case

2nd: 1. It is Written

3rd: 10. Corsica Lad

4th: 2. Grane    

Race 5 – Stutt Stakes (1600m)

Tips:

1st: 1. Detective ($5.5)

2nd: 2. Tessera ($6.5)

3rd: 3. Hey Doc ($6)

4th: 5. Manhattan Street ($7.50)

 

Summary: Another race which is a great guide for later in the Spring, especially Derbies and Guineas. I think Detective can win again here, He was really good at Flemington and looked like he could go on with it. He beat Tessera that day and think those two fight it out again. Hey Doc was great last time, but a month between runs is a worry and feel he may be a Derby horse, while wary of the Kiwi Manhattan Street.

Betting Confidence: Highly confident that one of Detective or Tessera wins this, leaning towards the former.

Race 6 – Stocks Stakes -1600m

Tips:

1st: 2. Miss Rose de Lago ($4.40)

2nd: 1. Rising Romance ($2.90)

3rd: 10. Don’t Doubt Mamma ($3.70)

4th: 4. Iggimacool ($15)   

Summary: Really, really good renewal of this race, with several top class mares involved. Backing Miss Rose De Lago to bounce back here, She’s won over this track and distance before, was impressive in winning the Lawrence and has been freshened since disappointing in the Dato. She’s top class. As is Rising Romance, but she doesn’t win often enough, just five times in 32 starts and has never raced at the Valley. Don’t Doubt Mamma was excellent last time and deserves her crack at these, while Iggimacool gets to her right distance range and looks ready to improve at odds.

Betting confidence: Medium confidence in Miss Rose De Lago, although the month off is a worry. Iggimacool is the best value by far.

Race 7 – Moir Stakes -1000m

Tips:

1st: 1. Buffering ($6.50)

2nd: 2. Chautauqua ($2.20)

3rd: 4. Ball of Muscle ($21)

4th: 5. Redzel ($21)  

Summary: Brilliant race. I’ve left Extreme Choice out. I’m always suss on three-year-olds first-up in these quality races. They have the talent but lack the temperament. Gone with Buffering here. He’s a five-time Valley winner and has won five of seven over the 1000m. He’s so tough and may prove too much for Chautauqua to run down. You get the feeling that the big grey’s Grand Final is still a few weeks away, but he’s a clear second pick. Like Ball of Muscle for a place from a good gate, while Redzel looks a sprinter of some promise.

Betting Confidence: Very confident that the $6.50 about the Buff represents value. Especially at the money back the place.

William Hill Bm90 – 1200m   

Tips:

1st: 4. Sir Bacchus

2nd: 7. Sebring Sun

3rd: 8. Fast Cash

4th: 6: Magnus Reign


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