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Hartnell firms to $3.75 in Cox Plate after dominant Turnbull win

Mon, Oct 3, 10:25am by Bren O'Brien

The Spring Racing Carnival needs it, racing fans want it and punters are expecting it. The clash between Hartnell and Winx in the Cox Plate looks increasingly likely after Hartnell’s dominant win in Sunday’s Turnbull Stakes saw his Cox Plate price slashed to just $3.75.

A week ago, it appeared that Hartnell was destined for the Caulfield Cup, with owners Godolphin keen to avoid a humbling at the hands of the mighty mare Winx in Australia’s greatest weight for age race.

However, Hartnell has shown he is in career-best form, winning the Turnbull by 3.25 lengths over Caulfield Cup second favourite Jameka, and while the $3 million Cup would appear at his mercy, a title at Winx on October 22 at Mooonee Valley looks increasingly likely.

Sportsbet now has Hartnell, who was $10 a week ago, as $3.75 second pick behind Winx for the Cox Plate, with a decision on which direct the former European galloper heads next to be made this week.

Winx, who goes for win No.12 in succession in this weekend’s Caulfield Stakes, remains at $2. Should Hartnell opt for the Caulfield Cup, then she would be plunged deep into odds-on territory, especially if she wins on Saturday.

Her main rival in that race is expected to be Black Heart Bart, who is currently third pick for the Cox Plate at $13, level with Lucia Valentina, with The United States at $15 and French galloper Vadamos at $17.

Tosen Stardom, who runs in the Toorak Handicap this Saturday, is at $21, along with last weekend’s Epsom Handicap winner Hauraki.

The Caulfield Cup market will completely change should Hartnell not go down that path. He is listed as doubtful at $3.50 with Jameka at $4.40. International galloper Exosphere, to be known as Exospheric when he runs here, is $11 along with Godolphin’s other Caulfield Cup hope Scottish.

Real Love catapulted into Caulfield Cup calculations with a dominant win at Moonee Valley on Friday night and she is now $15, the same price as Sir Isaac Newton.

The first batch of international raiders arrived on Saturday and how they settle in and perform will shape Caulfield and Melbourne Cup markets over the coming fortnight.

Hartnell, well-beaten in last year’s Melbourne Cup, is now a ruling $6 favourite for this year’s race on November 1. That race appears to be Hartnell’s final spring destination.

International raiders Big Orange and Bondi Beach are both at $15, and are joined by impressive Flemington winner Almandin as well as Jameka on that price.

Wicklow Brave, who arrived in Australia over the weekend, is $17 along with Heartbreak City. Our Ivanhowe, Scottish and Exospheric are $21.

Saturday’s features are the Caulfield Guineas and the Thousand Guineas, with Impending and Divine Prophet expected to fight out favouritism for the $1 million race for the colts and geldings.

Impending holds top spot at $4.20, just ahead of Divine Choice at $4.80, whole Sacred Elixir is $7 and Good Standing $9. Hey Doc was the market mover on the weekend, winning the Stutt Stakes at Moonee Valley on Friday and is now $11.

The Thousand Guineas market has been shaken up by the loss of Omei Sword for the spring. Foxplay is now $2.75 favourite, with Global Glamour, who won the Flight Stakes at Randwick on Saturday, $5 second favourite,

Missrock, Yankee Rose and Harlow Gold are all $9.


Sportsbet Markets:

Cox Plate Market:

Winx $2

Hartnell (Gb) $3.75

Black Heart Bart $13

Lucia Valentina (Nz) $13

The United States (Ire) $15

Vadamos (Fr) $17

Hauraki $21

Tosen Stardom (Jpn) $26

Our Ivanhowe (Ger) $34

Happy Clapper $34

Sir Isaac Newton (Gb) $34

Preferment (Nz) $34

Divine Prophet $34

Awesome Rock $34

Sacred Elixir (Nz) $34

Tarzino (Nz) $34

Others: Longer

Caulfield Cup Market:

Hartnell (Doubtful) $3.5

Jameka $4.4

Exosphere $11

Scottish $13

Real Love $15

Sir Isaac Newton $15

Articus $17

Tally $17

Set Square $21

The United States $21

Our Ivanhowe $21

Antonio Giuseppe (Nz) $26

Sir John Hawkwood (Ire) $26

It’s Somewhat $26

Gallante (Ire) $34

Spiritjim (Fr) $34

Preferment $34

Others: Longer

Melbourne Cup Market:

Hartnell $6

Big Orange $15

Bondi Beach $15

Almandin $15

Jameka $15

Wicklow Brave $17

Heartbreak City $17

Our Ivanhowe $21

Exosphere $21

Curren Mirotic $21

Secret Number $26

Scottish $26

Tarzino $26

The United States $26

Who Shot Thebarman $26

Others: Longer

Caulfield Guineas Market:

Impending $4.2

Divine Prophet $4.8

Sacred Elixir $7

Good Standing $9

Hey Doc $11

Saracino $13

Seaburge $15

Evacuation $17

Archives $17

Wazzenme $21

Others: Longer

Thousand Guineas Market:

Foxplay $2.75

Global Glamour $5

Missrock $9

Yankee Rose $9

Harlow Gold $9

Samara Dancer $11

Leotie $11

Luna Rossa $11

Whispering Brook $11

Serenely Discreet $11

Legless Veuve $13

Invincibella $13

I Am A Star $13

Sebring Dream $15

Sezanne $17

Others: Longer

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