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Giants lose nine players but hold AFL premiership favouritsm

Sun, Oct 23, 10:44am by Jake Equid

The 2016 AFL trade period has now concluded but given how busy and frenetic the last fortnight has been, with 25 trades completed on Thursday alone, you could be forgiven for letting the odd detail slip your mind.

Thus, we’ve run our eye over the entire period and importantly, how it affects the 2017 premiership betting market.

Despite losing nine players to rival clubs, the acquisition of Richmond’s Brett Deledio has seen the Giants go from $5.50 to $4.50 and outright favourites for the flag with Sportsbet over the last fortnight.

In an amazing stat, the Giants first five picks from 2014 are now at different clubs. Picks 4, 6, 7, 22 and 23 are now gone which is Jarrod Pickett, Caleb Marchbank, Paul Ahern, Jack Steele and Pat McKenna.

Punters didn’t lose faith in Adelaide ($7) or Hawthorn ($8), either, despite controversial trade periods that saw the Crows miss out on Bryce Gibbs and the Hawks lose two premiership stars.

One of those premiership stars is Sam Mitchell, who without doubt was the most surprising move of the period. The five time best and fairest winner left for West Coast for pick number 88 but it has been touted that is was to free up some salary cap room for a big play at 2015 Brownlow Medal winner, Nat Fyfe next season.

Mitchell will move into a coaching role with the Eagles at the conclusion of his playing career.

The other four-time premiership star to exit Waverley Park was Jordan Lewis, who is now a Melbourne Demon. Jaeger O’Meara is now a Hawk but only just after the last minute trade was completed with the Suns on Thursday. They also signed Swan Tom Mitchell. Hawthorn’s odds plummeted from $10 to $8.

Both West Australian sides had a good trade period which saw their odds shorten on the back of some creative deals.

Fremantle’s flag odds have dropped from $34 to $26 after recruiting Cam McCarthy, Bradley Hill, Joel Hamling and Shane Kersten. Meanwhile, West Coast has dipped from $13 to $11 after pulling off the aforementioned trade for Hawthorn veteran, Sam Mitchell. Geelong’s Nathan Vardy has also packed his bags for West Coast.

According to list expert, Chris Pelchen, the best trade of the entire period was Cam McCarthy who joined Fremantle alongside Picks 7, 34 and 72 while GWS gained Pick 3.

Pelchen believes the forward should excel at the Dockers. “McCarthy’s a very athletic player who has had some off field challenges over the past 12-24 months,” Pelchen said.

The reigning premiers, the Western Bulldogs, are the only side to have drifted in the market following the trade period. The odds of the Dogs going back-to-back have gone from $4.50 to $5, with punters clearly not liking the acquisition of Collingwood premiership forward Travis Cloke.

Here’s how the 2017 AFL Premiership betting market changed after the trade period:

Adelaide

From (before trade period): $8

To (after trade period): $7

Brisbane

From: $251

To: $251

Carlton

From: $81

To: $81

Collingwood

From: $23

To: $23

Essendon

From: $21

To: $21

Fremantle

From: $34

To: $26

Geelong

From: $9

To: $9

Gold Coast

From: $31

To: $31

GWS Giants

From: $5.50

To: $4.50

Hawthorn

From: $10

To: $8

Melbourne

From: $26

To: $26

North Melbourne

From: $31

To: $31

Port Adelaide

From: $21

To: $21

Richmond

From: $31

To: $31

St Kilda

From: $26

To: $26

Sydney

From: $6.50

To: $6.50

West Coast

From: $13

To: $11

Western Bulldogs

From: $4.50

To: $5

 

2017 AFL Premiership:

GWS $4.50

Western Bulldogs $5.00

Sydney $6.50

Adelaide $7.00

Hawthorn $8.00

Geelong $9.00

West Coast $11.00

Port Adelaide $21.00

Essendon $21.00

Collingwood $23.00

St Kilda $26.00

Melbourne $26.00

Fremantle $26.00

Richmond $31.00

North Melbourne $31.00

Gold Coast $31.00

Carlton $81.00

Brisbane $251.00

Odds were provided by Sportsbet AFL Trade Period review, 2017 AFL Premiership Market, AFL 2017 Premiership Odds, AFL Trade Period and were correct at the time of publishing*

 


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