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Caulfield Saturday: Odds and Early Value – Naturalism Stakes Day

Wed, Sep 14, 7:01pm by Bren O'Brien

The Melbourne spring is a fickle a beast as you’d ever want to battle. One moment, she’s promising you sunshine and warmth and the next, you are wrestling with an inside umbrella trying to find shelter against the rain and cold.

But the rain hasn’t been significant enough, at least in Melbourne, to prevent the Spring Racing Carnival from rolling on. At Caulfield on Saturday we embark upon the first of five consecutive Saturdays at The Heath, culminating in the Caulfield Cup on October 15.

This Saturday’s main race, the Group 3 Naturalism Stakes, is a qualifier for Cup, the world’s richest 2400m race, and a capacity field will battle it out for a free pass to the big dance at the same venue in 28 days.

Import Tom Melbourne, prepared by Hall of fame trainer Lee Freedman, rules the market at around the $4 mark ahead of 2015 Crown Oaks winner Jameka and former Perth mare Real Love, who is $9. It’s an open race with nine runners at $15 or shorter.

Every week on, we go through the fields to find you the best early value among Saturday’s runners. We’ve found some great value in the ten horses we’ve found who we think are over the odds.

Here they are:

Race 1 No. 5 Manhattan Blues ($13) (Our Odds: $6)

Race 2 No.4 Blue Tycoon ($9) (Our Odds: $5)

Race 3 No. 2 Serenely Discreet ($6.50) (Our Odds: $5)

Race 4 No.4 Antelucan ($8.50) (Our Odds: $5)

Race 5. No. 4 Captain Duffy ($14) (Our Odds: $4.20)

Race 6 No.3 Vibrant Rouge ($15) (Our Odds: $5.50)

Race 7 No.7 Dan Zephyr ($15) (Our Odds: $8.50)

Race 8 No.4 Real Love ($9) (Our Odds: $4.40)

Race 9 No.3 Akavaroun ($15) (Our Odds: $6)

Race 10 No.4 Tarquin ($8) (Our Odds: $5)

WATCH: Our Preview of Naturalism Stakes Day

Naturalism Stakes Field and Sportsbet Market

  1. Gallante (5)

T:Robert Hickmott

J:D Oliver W:58.5 kg


  1. Almoonqith (17)

T:D & B Hayes & T Dabernig

J:M J Walker W:57.5 kg


  1. Excess Knowledge (4)

T:G Waterhouse & A Bott

J:M Zahra W:57.5 kg


  1. Real Love (10)

T:D K Weir

J:B Rawiller W:57 kg


  1. Taiyoo (3)

T:D K Weir

J:H Coffey W:56 kg


  1. Jameka (1)

T:C Maher

J:Nicholas Hall W:55.5 kg


  1. Magnapal (13)

T:T & K O’Sullivan

J:L Currie W:55.5 kg


  1. Set Square (18)

T:C Maher

J:L Nolen W:55.5 kg


  1. Tall Ship (9)

T:D K Weir

J:M J Dee (a0) W:54 kg


  1. Berisha (19)

T:R W Smerdon

J:Chris Parnham W:54 kg


  1. Great Esteem (8)

T:S J Webb

J:Katelyn Mallyon W:54 kg


  1. Observational (15)

T:Robert Hickmott

J:B Melham W:54 kg


  1. Tom Melbourne (2)

T:Lee & Anthony Freedman

J:G Boss W:54 kg


  1. Swacadelic (7)

T:Aaron Purcell

J:Ryan Maloney W:54 kg


  1. Gabella (20)

T:D & B Hayes & T Dabernig

J:D Dunn W:54 kg



  1. Second Bullet (11)

T:D T O’Brien

J:Damian Lane W:54 kg



  1. Zanteca (14)

T:D K Weir

J:C Newitt W:54 kg


  1. Manndawi (16)

T:D K Weir

W:54 kg


  1. Master Zephyr (6)

T:D K Weir

W:54 kg


  1. The Bandit (12)

T:J D Sadler

W:54 kg


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