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Australia $3.15 to avoid our greatest cricketing embarassment

Tue, Nov 15, 4:50pm by Bren O'Brien

Having conceded the Test series to South Africa in record time, Australia are now $3.15 to rescue some pride and win the Adelaide Test, which begins on Thursday week.

Given the way Australia have capitulated this series, including a collapse of 8-40 on Tuesday morning to lose the Hobart Test, the $1.85 on offer about the in-form South Africans may prove the steal of the year.

The fact that this match will be played under lights as part of a day-nighter should only help the cock-a-hoop Proteas, who ran through the Aussies in just over two full days of play at Bellerive.

Last year’s day-nighter in Adelaide produced a cracking Test match between Australia and New Zealand but it was completely dominated by the ball with a highest total innings score of 224 and the game over inside three days.

Having terrorised the Australian batsmen in Perth and Hobart, Lord knows what the tourists will do to them in juicy conditions in the City of Churches.

Australia has not lost a Test match by over an innings on home soil since the disastrous 2010-11 Ashes series, when England routed them three times. Before that it was 1993 when Australia were embarrassed in such a way.

The selectors can not ignore the national outcry and with one home series lost and another one against Pakistan, currently ranked second in the world, looming, the time for action is now.

The batting has simply been pathetic, and no-one aside from Steve Smith and David Warner is safe. That pair are currently $3.75 joint favourites to be Australia’s top run scorer in the first innings in Adelaide.

Warner currently leads the Australian chase for the most runs in the series with just 178 in four digs, while Smith, who showed some fight across both innings but still seem sorely out of touch, has managed just 113 in his four tries.

Quinton De Kock leads all comers when it comes to total runs with 252 at an average of 84. He is $1.11 to finish the series on top, with Warner at $6.

Probably the most interesting market of the lot is the most wickets market. Kagiso Rabada has had a great series and has 12 wickets, one more than Australia’s Josh Hazelwood and two more than Vernon Philander. Kyle Abbott may have had played just one Test, but took an impressive nine wickets in Hobart, including 6/77 in the second innings. What a replacement for Dale Steyn he turned out to be!

The market has Rabada a $3 favourite to finish the series on top, with Philander at $3.50, level with Hazelwood. Abbott at $7 might be best value of the lot.

Australia would probably take a draw in Adelaide if it meant salvaging some semblance of pride, but just three of the past 18 games at the Adelaide Oval have ended in a stalemate. The bookies are offering $4.95 for a draw.

The match between these two four years ago was the most recent draw here. In that Test, a young batsman called Faf De Plessis debuted and saved the match with a brilliant last day century. This time around he’s the captain looking to inflict Australia’s greatest humiliation on home soil in our 140-year history in the game.

Suggested Bet: Back South Africa at $1.85 to win the third Test

Value Bet: Take the $7 on offer about Abbott to get the most wickets for the series


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