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NSW look to keep Origin hopes alive at Suncorp

Tue, Jun 21, 10:53am by Christopher Duffy

State of Origin 2016 PreviewOrigin returns this week with Game 2 in Brisbane as Queensland look to seal this Series after their hard-fought victory in Sydney three weeks ago.

New South Wales need to win to keep the 2016 series alive – a task made all the more difficult with the match taking place at Suncorp Stadium, a venue where they have only won once since 2009.

Queensland understandably on form and history, head into the game as favourites to once again beat the Blues. William Hill are offering $1.55 for a straight victory to the home side or with a margin of 1-12, $2.70. A high-margin victory sees the Maroons odds at $3.60 at 13+.

William Hill has New South Wales to win and force a decider in Game 3 priced at $2.45. With winning margins brought into play the odds rapidly increase with a margin of 1-12 at $3.20 and 13+ at $8.00.

On the evidence of Game 1 it may well be another low-scoring encounter with the possibility of a rare draw priced at $17.00.

The Maroons players dominate the odds on who will win the man of the match award in Game 2. Johnathan Thurston tops the list of favourites priced at $5.00 followed by Cooper Cronk ($7.00) and Cameron Smith ($8.00). Paul Gallen is favourite to claim the award on the Blue side of the contest at $9.00. Of the wide range of odds on offer on William Hill, one potential big call could be Dane Gagai at $126.00. A big Queensland win would see the winger no doubt hitting the heights running in tries for a possible man of the match award.

In the midst of a wide range of options of player focused odds, one interesting offer from William Hill is the opportunity to wager on what position will score a try for either side. The big men rarely get across the line but the battle upfront sees $9.00 on offer for a prop from either side to score. Alternatively to take a look at the backs, none of the wingers to score is priced at $4.75. Both are intriguing options in what may well be a close contest.

Gagai scored Queensland’s only try in Game 1 and is $10 to score the opening try this time around, while New South Wales’ lone try scorer from the first match Boyd Cordner, won’t be playing on Wednesday.

Those who want to try their hand at naming Queensland’s first tryscorer have a market headed by   Corey Oates ($4.50) and Greg Inglis ($6.00). On the NSW side of the ledger, Blake Ferguson and Josh Mansour are priced at $5.50 and one that will hurt New South Wales fans, third favourite on William Hill is for no NSW try at $6.00.

Game 1 was a tense affair and fans will be hoping for much more free flowing play in this match. History says it will be, with total points in Origin matches at Suncorp Stadium in the past seven matches averaging nearly 40 as compared to below 20 in the past seven matches in Sydney.

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