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Euro 2016 Round of 16 – Betting Preview

Fri, Jun 24, 9:04am by Staff Writer

Ireland Euro 2016

Euro 2016 has been the tournament with the late dramatics. Last-minute winners and equalisers have seen fans break down in tears, commentators become YouTube sensations and some surprise teams making it to the last 16.

One thing that has come out of the group stage is that anybody is capable of beating anybody else leaving the competition wide open.

Here is our look at the next round of fixtures and who the bookies think will make it through.


Switzerland v Poland

Saturday June 25, 11pm AEST

Both of these teams went through the group stages unbeaten although neither played the type of football you would think is needed to go on and lift the title. They’ve scored just four goals between them and conceded just one, which means this one could be drab affair.

In terms of a 90-minute result, Centrebet have Poland as slight favourites at $2.60. With Robert Lewandowski up front I can see why as it may take a bit of magic from the Bayern Munich striker to break the deadlock. Don’t write the Swiss off though as they did hold hosts France to a 0-0 draw and could be worth a punt as $3.20 outsiders.

The market to qualify, which accounts for the result after extra time and/or penalties, sees Poland at $1.73 and Switzerland $2.10.

Wales v Northern Ireland

Sunday June 26, 2am AEST

With just a stretch of water separating the two nations and history stretching back thousands of years, this match promises to be every bit as passionate as the England v Wales clash at the group stage. Amazingly Northern Ireland qualified for the second stage despite having lost twice and I feel their luck will run out against a Gareth Bale inspired Welsh side.

The 90-minute market sees Wales $2.00 with William Hill, Northern Ireland are $4.50 and the draw at $3.

To qualify, Wales are $1.45, Northern Ireland are $2.75.

Croatia v Portugal

Sunday June 26, 5am AEST

Amazingly Portugal finished third in their group behind Hungary and Iceland. Even with a certain Cristiano Ronaldo in the starting line-up, the bookies simply feel they are not good enough to progress to the quarter finals.

Centrebet have Croatia as $2.60 favourite and Portugal at $3.10, with the draw at $3.10. Croatia are favoured to progress at $1.73.

France v Republic of Ireland

Sunday June 26, 11pm AEST

Ok nobody expects the French to be bundled out of this by Ireland, but then again nobody expected Ireland to get out of their group by beating Italy. For me, hosts France are the form team of the tournament and no matter how dogged, organised or workmanlike Martin O’Neil’s boys are I think they have little chance of going through.

France are $1.44 with Centrebet to win in 90 and $1.15 to progress. Republic of Ireland are $9.00 to win in regulation, $5.50 to get through to the quarters.

Germany v Slovakia

Monday June 27, 2am AEST

The quality of this match will depend on which German side decides to show up. The exciting goal-hungry high-pressing outfit that became World Champions just two years ago or the timid-looking side which limped out their Group to reach the second round of Euro 2016.

If history has taught us anything though, it’s the Germans never play their best football early on in a major tournament. Slovakia should be careful of an onslaught in this one.

Germany have been well-supported already and are $1.44 with William Hill to progress in the 90 minutes, Slovakia are $9.00. The teams are rated $1.15 and $5.50 respectively to get to the final eight.

Hungary v Belgium

Monday June 27, 5am AEST

Hungary finished top of their group with just one win and two draws in a group that included Portugal. But despite this and the fact they scored six goals across their three matches William Hill still have them as $6.50 outsiders to beat Belgium in normal time.

The Belgians did come out of a tougher group that included Italy, Ireland and Sweden and on paper their squad is far superior. In Romelu Lukaku they have one of the world’s in-form strikers and I don’t think the Hungarians have what it takes to keep him locked up for 90 mins.

William Hill will pay $1.28 for Belgium to go through to the next round, 41.66 to do it inside 90 minutes.

Italy v Spain

Tuesday June 28, 2am AEST

This is easily the tie of the round and I can’t help thinking whoever wins this will have the confidence to go on and win the whole thing. Italy have looked the better of the two in the group stage but when you have Andreas Iniesta pulling the strings in midfield you are capable of beating anybody.

The 90-minute market sees Italy at $4.20 with Centrebet, Spain are $2.15.

The overall qualification market sees Spain at $1.55 and Italy at $2.45.

England v Iceland

Tuesday June 28, 5am AEST

England have once again been frustratingly bad so far. Toothless up front and all too often void of ideas in the middle. Centrebet do have them as $1.53 favourites to get through this in 90 minutes and fans will be hoping for a big win to bust the squad’s confidence. But looking at England’s history at major tournaments picking Iceland at $4.50 to qualify could be the sneaky bet of the round.

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