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Crows now $3.75 for flag, but Swans still favourite

Mon, Aug 22, 11:16am by Jake Equid

With only one round of the home and away season remaining the premiership race took another turn on Friday when the reigning premier showed a little more vulnerability by stumbling in the west. The Swans hung onto their spot at the top of the market by defeating North Melbourne by nine points.

Sydney went into Round 21 at $3.75 and after their gritty win against North shortened even further to $3.25. Hawthorn lost more than a few friends with their disappointing showing in the west when they lost to the Eagles by 25 points and moved from the second line of betting at $4.25 to the third line of betting at $5.50. The big movers of the round though were Adelaide after their 15-point win in the showdown they moved from $5 to $3.75.

On the next line of betting, Geelong eased slightly from $5 to $5.50 despite their 10-goal win at the Gabba on Sunday. The biggest winners of the Round on the scoreboard were the Giants who demolished an insipid Freo by 92 points on Saturday but the punters are still not convinced about the finals newbies as they slid from $9 to $10.

A thought that will have all Victorians a little uneasy is that there is now a real chance, for the first time ever, that there will be no football in Melbourne for the first week of the finals. This week’s Friday Night game between Adelaide and West Coast is undoubtedly the match of the round and will define the makeup of the finals. The other finals shaping contest comes on Saturday night when North hosts GWS.

Despite their poor showing on Friday night my money is still with the Hawks. The unprecedented move by the AFL to have a week’s break after the home and away season will serve as a blessing for their ageing list as they head into yet another finals campaign. I’m sticking with them as finals football is a different kettle of fish to the regular season and they have the experience and class to get it done when it counts.

BEST BET: Hawthorn to win. $5.50

The Final Round:

Hawthorn:

Rd 23: Collingwood (MCG)

Greater Western Sydney:

Rd 23: North Melbourne (Etihad Stadium)

Sydney:

Rd 23: Richmond (SCG)

Geelong:

Rd 23: Melbourne (Simonds Stadium)

Adelaide:

Rd 23: West Coast (Adelaide Oval)

All of the above odds were sourced by Sportsbet and were correct at time of publishing


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