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Colombia the bet for an upset over Chile

Wed, Jun 22, 10:08am by Jake Equid

James Rodriguez

James Rodriguez – (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)

Confidence will be high in the Chile squad after they humiliated their quarterfinal opponents Mexico 7-0 on Sunday in a display that even drew applause from the Mexican fans.

Colombia on the other hand scraped through by the skin of their teeth, in a penalty shootout win against Peru and will have to improve if they are to reach their first Copa America final since they lifted their one and only trophy in 2001.

Sportsbet has Chile at $1.70 to progress to their second successive final with Colombia at $2.05.

Those looking for a result in the 90 minutes, can get as much as $2.60 about Chile with William Hill.

Best odds for the draw and a Colombia win in 90 minutes are both with Sportsbet at $3.20 and $3 respectively.

Chile made a shaky start to their title defence, dropping their first game to Argentina before making a lucky escape against lowly Bolivia.  They started to get the ball rolling in their final group game against Panama, winning 4-2, but not without some concerns at the back.

Without doubt their best game to date was their most recent, a magnificent display engineered by their inspiring forward Alexis Sanchez.  The Arsenal man has done it all this tournament, scoring three goals and dishing up a further two assists. Eduardo Vargas had a night out against Mexico with four goals

Colombian boss Jose Pekerman heavily rotated his squad in the last group game against Costa Rica which resulted in their one and only defeat of the campaign.

Despite failing to score against Peru, James Rodriguez created a number of chances and stepped up to score the all-important first penalty in the shootout.

While Colombia haven’t reached this stage of the tournament since 2004 the bulk of this squad managed to make the quarterfinals of the World Cup just two years ago – a tournament that saw the aforementioned Rodriguez win the Golden Boot.

The tale of the tape makes for intriguing viewing here as Chile has only managed three wins against Colombia in the past 16 years.  This will be an extremely tight match and one in which I’m expecting both sides to score.  The loss of attacking midfielder Arturo Vidal will hurt Chile and in my opinion just swings the balance back towards Colombia.  The best bet here is to stay away from the head to head market and put some of your hard earned on both teams to score.

Predicted Result: Colombia 2 Chile 1

BEST BET: Both teams to score. $1.95 with William Hill

BEST OUTSIDER: Correct Score Market: Colombia to win 2-1: $11

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