Thu, Aug 18, 12:50pm by Jake Equid
Hawthorn got back to their winning ways last week, leading at all breaks before running out 39-point winners against North Melbourne on Saturday. On the next rung of the ladder are three clubs Sydney, Adelaide and Geelong who all won last week. GWS lost a nail-biter to the Eagles when Nic Natanui goaled in the final ten seconds of the game to put a major dent in their top four aspirations.
The penultimate round of the season kicks off in the west with the Grand Final rematch. The Hawks can all but seal the minor premiership with a win. They famously played at the venue twice during last year’s finals series including a preliminary final win when it mattered most against West Coast’s cross town rivals Fremantle and then went on to defeat the Eagles a week later in the big one.
One of the other intriguing games in a fascinating round comes the following day when Sydney take on North Melbourne. Melbourne can still pinch the final spot in the eight if they win both of their remaining games so it’s really all on the line for the Kangas. Elsewhere Showdown number 41 in Adelaide never fails to entertain, especially with the Crows needing to win to keep their top two chances on track.
Here are our best bets for Round 22:
GWS v Fremantle, Spotless Stadium, 4:35pm Saturday August 20
After losing the unlosable game last week the Giants will be looking to bounce back and bounce back in a big way when they host the Dockers who were nothing short of embarrassing last week.
Last year’s minor premiers have been awful for much of this season and I’m expecting that to continue here on a long road trip. They are 1-9 on the road this year, and have lost those games by an average of 38 points.
The head-to-head market obviously offers no value at all so we’re going to take the Giants to cover the line here (-59.5).
BEST BET: Giants to win by over 59 points $1.92
WATCH: Our Best Bets of Round 22
Collingwood v Gold Coast, Etihad Stadium, 7:25pm, Saturday August 20
The Suns elected to stay in Melbourne this week after their humiliating loss to the Bombers at Etihad Stadium on Sunday. The now face Collingwood who were unlucky last week not to roll the Bulldogs at the same venue last Friday.
Amazingly, these two clubs have never met at this venue. The last time they met was on the Gold Coast way back in Round 8, 2015 and the Pies won by 69 points. Once again, there’s not much value in the head-to-head market so I’m backing Collingwood to cover the line (-20.5).
Essendon v Western Bulldogs, Etihad Stadium, 4:40pm, Sunday August 21
After their second win of the season last week the Bombers return to Etihad Stadium to take on a Dogs outfit who should be far too strong on their way to a well-deserved finals berth.
The Western Bulldogs have so much to be admired for this season. The club has been ‘dogged’ by injury, pardon the pun, all season and yet they continue to turn up each week ready to play.
I’m backing the Dogs to win and we’ve picked our own line of 47.5 here. They truly are thriving in the face of adversity and if they can get a few key players back as expected in the coming weeks then who knows how much damage they can do in the finals.
MULTI OF THE WEEK: Combining all of the below for $6.15 at Sportsbet
GWS to cover the line (-59.5): $1.92
Collingwood to cover the line (-20.5): $1.92
Western Bulldogs to cover our line (-47.5): 1.67
AFL Round 22 odds:
West Coast $1.82 (-2.5) v Hawthorn $2 (+2.5)
North Melbourne $3.40 (+19.5) v Sydney $1.32 (-19.5)
Richmond $1.97 (+1.5) v St Kilda $1.84 (-1.5)
GWS $1.02 (-59.5) v Fremantle $14 (+59.5)
Collingwood $1.32 (-20.5) v Gold Coast $3.43 (+20.5)
Port Adelaide $6.05 (+35.5) v Adelaide $1.13 (-35.5)
Carlton $3.70 (+21.5) v Melbourne $1.28 (-21.5)
Brisbane $14 (+58.5) v Geelong $1.02 (-58.5)
Essendon $11 (+51.5) v Western Bulldogs (-51.5)
Odds supplied by Sportsbet and were correct at the time of publishing*
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