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AFL premiership market a race in four

Mon, Aug 8, 1:29pm by Staff Writer

With three rounds of the home and away season remaining the premiership race has been blown wide open following the shock loss by ladder-leaders Hawthorn on Saturday. There are now three clubs, Sydney, Adelaide and Geelong who are equal favourites with the reigning premier for the 2016 premiership.

Hawthorn were the outright favourites at $3.50 heading into Round 20 but their shock 29-point loss to Melbourne saw them ease out to $4.50. On the same day the Swans flexed some muscle in the harbour city, demolishing Port Adelaide by 67 points, which saw them come into $4.50.

Speaking of flexing muscle, the Crows did just that in their 138-point thumping of the insipid Lions later on Saturday.  The next day the Cats eased marginally from $4.25 to $4.50 even though they defeated Essendon by 66 points. That result could prove crucial in the final make-up of the top four as it didn’t quite turn out to be the percentage booster that many punters were hoping for.

Another club who missed out on gaining some much needed percentage points on the weekend was GWS who were lucky to squeeze past the Suns by eight points on the Gold Coast. The finals newbies drifted from $5.50 to $6.50 following the win.

My money is still with the Hawks. The loss on the weekend may well turn out to be a blessing in disguise after winning nine straight. They are still a game clear on top of the ladder and I’m expecting them to come out firing this Saturday against North Melbourne. They haven’t loss two in a row since Round 10, 2014.

All of the above odds are thanks to the TAB.  Sportsbet sees it slighty differently with Hawthorn still favourite at $4.33 followed by Adelaide, Geelong and Sydney who are all at $5.

BEST BET: Hawthorn to win. $4.33 with Sportsbet

 

The Run Home:

 

Hawthorn:

Rd 21: North Melbourne (MCG)

Rd 22: West Coast (Domain Stadium)

Rd 23: Collingwood (MCG)

 

Sydney:

Rd 21: St Kilda (Etihad Stadium)

Rd 22: North Melbourne (Blundstone Arena)

Rd 23: Richmond (SCG)

 

Adelaide:

Rd 21: Fremantle (Domain Stadium)

Rd 22: Port Adelaide (Adelaide Oval)

Rd 23: West Coast (Adelaide Oval)

 

Greater Western Sydney:

Rd 21: West Coast (Spotless Stadium)

Rd 22: Fremantle (Spotless Stadium)

Rd 23: North Melbourne (Etihad Stadium)

 

Geelong:

Rd 21: Richmond (MCG)

Rd 22: Brisbane Lions (Gabba)

Rd 23: Melbourne (Simonds Stadium)


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